arXiv:2508.00094·v1·Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Cosmic Trajectories calculation with state of the art lattice QCD equation of state
Lorenzo Formaggio🇺🇸 · Francesco Di Clemente🇺🇸 · Geetika Yadav🇺🇸 · Alessandro Drago🇮🇹 · Claudia Ratti🇺🇸
Abstract
We compute the full cosmic trajectories of the early Universe across the QCD phase diagram as the plasma cools from MeV to MeV, assuming -equilibrated matter. The trajectories are obtained by simultaneously solving baryon-number, electric-charge, and lepton-asymmetry conservation, closed by a state-of-the-art lattice-QCD equation of state: a fourth-order Taylor expansion in the chemical potentials that merges the latest -flavor susceptibilities with charm-quark contributions, thus delivering a consistent -flavor equation of state. Results are compared with an ideal quark-gluon plasma and with a hadron-resonance gas to highlight interaction effects. Two cases of primordial lepton asymmetries are analyzed: a symmetric configuration and an asymmetric one . Increasing systematically drives the trajectories toward larger values of and more negative . In the asymmetric case, a non-monotonic bounce develops when the chemical potential reaches , generating a maximum in , the position of which depends on . Assuming a modest -dependence of the lattice-QCD critical end point estimates (obtained at ), the trajectories for all lepton asymmetries explored () lie to their left, implying that in a standard cosmological scenario the QCD transition is almost certainly a smooth crossover. Nevertheless, we estimate the magnitude of baryon and lepton asymmetries needed to obtain a cosmic trajectory closer to the QCD critical point, providing inputs for future studies of the strong-interaction epoch.